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Up to 700,000 people estimated to have died due to USAid cuts, Minister to say

Up to 700,000 people estimated to have died due to USAid cuts, Minister to say

USAID was closed by the Trump administration in July last year. Before that closure, more than 80% of its programmes had already been cancelled. The changes sharply reduced the agency’s ability to deliver development and humanitarian assistance worldwide. The programmes that survived were moved into the US State Department. This meant USAID no longer operated as a separate agency, while most of its earlier work disappeared. The article links these cuts to wider reductions in international aid. The reported consequences are severe. Neale Richmond will tell EU ministers that cuts to USAID alone have cost between 500,000 and 700,000 lives globally. He will also warn that HIV and malaria rates are rising again, after decades of improvement, showing how quickly disrupted aid can affect public health.

Based on reporting by Irish Times

What changes were made to USAID, and how did the Trump administration’s cuts affect its programmes?

USAID was closed by the Trump administration in July last year. Before that closure, more than 80% of its programmes had already been cancelled. The changes sharply reduced the agency’s ability to deliver development and humanitarian assistance worldwide.

The programmes that survived were moved into the US State Department. This meant USAID no longer operated as a separate agency, while most of its earlier work disappeared. The article links these cuts to wider reductions in international aid.

The reported consequences are severe. Neale Richmond will tell EU ministers that cuts to USAID alone have cost between 500,000 and 700,000 lives globally. He will also warn that HIV and malaria rates are rising again, after decades of improvement, showing how quickly disrupted aid can affect public health.

What is USAID, and what does it do around the world?

USAID is the US government agency responsible for international development and humanitarian assistance. In general, such agencies fund programmes that improve health, reduce poverty, strengthen food security and respond to emergencies. Their work matters because many countries cannot meet urgent needs using domestic resources alone.

The article does not list every USAID programme, but it connects the agency’s work with global development and humanitarian support. It reports that more than 80% of its programmes were cancelled before the agency was closed, while the rest moved to the State Department. The cuts therefore affected a wide international network of assistance.

The reported impact includes rising HIV and malaria rates and a projected increase in infections and deaths. The article estimates up to 10.8 million additional HIV infections and 2.9 million HIV-related deaths by 2030. These figures show why USAID’s role matters beyond US borders.

How many deaths are estimated to have resulted from the USAID cuts alone?

The article reports that cuts to USAID alone have cost the lives of between 500,000 and 700,000 people globally. This is an estimate, not a precise count. It is presented as evidence that political decisions about aid can have direct consequences for human survival.

Neale Richmond, Ireland’s Minister of State at the Department of Foreign Affairs, will cite the estimate at a meeting of EU development ministers. He will argue that cuts to development and humanitarian assistance cost lives. The article links the figure to the closure and cancellation of USAID programmes under the Trump administration.

The estimate sits within broader warnings about worsening health and food insecurity. Richmond will also cite possible additional HIV infections and deaths through 2030. The article’s wider message is that reduced aid can create crises whose effects spread far beyond the countries receiving assistance.

How could reductions in international aid lead to more HIV infections, malaria cases and deaths?

International aid often supports health services that prevent infections, diagnose illness and provide treatment. When funding is reduced, clinics may lose medicines, workers, testing and prevention programmes. People can then go untreated, while diseases spread more easily. The article reports that HIV and malaria rates are going back up after decades of decline.

For HIV, the article estimates up to 10.8 million additional new infections and up to 2.9 million HIV-related deaths in children and adults by 2030. The reported mechanism is a direct impact of cuts to global development. Similar disruption can weaken malaria control and other health responses.

These effects are not limited to one country. Richmond warns that higher walls will not contain the consequences of global health crises. The figures remain estimates, but they point to a major forward risk: reduced prevention and treatment could reverse decades of progress against infectious diseases.

Which people and countries are most vulnerable when funding for humanitarian aid and development is reduced?

Reduced aid hits people hardest where governments and communities have limited resources. This includes people living through conflict, famine, displacement, disease outbreaks and severe food insecurity. The article stresses that vulnerable countries and communities face particularly serious consequences from rising food costs and disrupted assistance.

It identifies two man-made famines in Sudan and Gaza, alongside significant food insecurity in Mali, Haiti and South Sudan. These crises can become worse when humanitarian supplies, health services and development programmes lose funding. Conflict, economic disruption and climate impacts can also push food prices higher.

The danger extends beyond borders. Richmond warns that instability is increasing across the world and that global food security is on the edge. He says higher walls cannot contain the effects of these crises. The World Food Programme has warned that four active famines could soon exist, increasing pressure on already vulnerable populations.

Can other governments, international organisations or charities replace the money and services lost through USAID cuts?

Other donors and organisations can provide aid, but replacing a major international programme requires money, staff, logistics and time. The article does not identify any organisation that has fully replaced USAID’s cancelled programmes. It instead asks how governments can secure the future of the development and humanitarian system.

Some USAID programmes were absorbed into the US State Department, but more than 80% had already been cancelled. That means the transfer preserved only part of the agency’s work. Other governments, international bodies and charities could fill some gaps, yet the article gives no evidence that they have replaced the lost funding or services.

The immediate outlook is difficult. Richmond says ministers have the potential to drive change and save millions of lives. He also warns of rising HIV and malaria rates, worsening food insecurity and possible new famines. The article therefore presents replacement as an urgent collective responsibility, not an achieved outcome.

What is the difference between development aid and humanitarian aid, and why are both important for global stability?

Development aid is generally designed for long-term progress, such as stronger health systems, food security and economic resilience. Humanitarian aid responds to urgent suffering caused by conflict, famine, disasters or disease. The article treats both as essential parts of one international system because immediate survival and long-term stability are connected.

For example, humanitarian assistance can help people facing famine in Sudan and Gaza, while development programmes can support health work that prevents HIV and malaria from rising. The article warns that aid cuts have already been followed by renewed health threats. It also links conflict, economic disruption and climate impacts to higher food costs.

Both forms of aid affect global stability. Richmond says instability is increasing, democracy and shared values are under threat, and humanitarian suffering is rising. He argues that political leaders have the power to drive change and save millions of lives by protecting the development and humanitarian system.

Key Facts:

📌 USAID was closed by the Trump administration in July last year.

📌 More than 80% of USAID programmes were cancelled beforehand.

📌 Remaining programmes were absorbed into the US State Department.

📌 USAID is the United States Agency for International Development.

📌 It supports international development and humanitarian assistance.

📌 Its programmes operated across countries around the world.

📌 USAID cuts alone are estimated to have caused 500,000 to 700,000 deaths.

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