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Economy & Business12 Oct 2026 · about 7 min

India, UK aim to double bilateral trade to $120 billion by 2030 under FTA

The brief

India and the UK want to make $120 billion in annual bilateral trade by 2030. That would roughly double current trade of about $60 billion. The ambition covers both physical goods and services, making it broader than a target for merchandise alone. Ministers presented 2030 as a starting point for even greater cooperation. The goal is linked to the India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, or CETA. The agreement entered into force on July 15, and both governments want businesses to use the opportunities it creates. They also want to address remaining trade barriers and strengthen direct business-to-business engagement. Current trade already includes major services activity. Goods trade was $25.12 billion in 2025-26, while services trade was $35.44 billion in 2024. Reaching $120 billion will require companies to turn the agreement into more exports, imports, investment, and commercial partnerships. The 2027 JETCO meeting in the UK will continue that work.

01

What did India and the UK say they want to achieve in bilateral trade by 2030?

India and the UK want to make $120 billion in annual bilateral trade by 2030. That would roughly double current trade of about $60 billion. The ambition covers both physical goods and services, making it broader than a target for merchandise alone. Ministers presented 2030 as a starting point for even greater cooperation.

The goal is linked to the India-UK Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, or CETA. The agreement entered into force on July 15, and both governments want businesses to use the opportunities it creates. They also want to address remaining trade barriers and strengthen direct business-to-business engagement.

Current trade already includes major services activity. Goods trade was $25.12 billion in 2025-26, while services trade was $35.44 billion in 2024. Reaching $120 billion will require companies to turn the agreement into more exports, imports, investment, and commercial partnerships. The 2027 JETCO meeting in the UK will continue that work.

02

What is a free trade agreement, and how does the India-UK CETA change the rules for trade between the two countries?

A free trade agreement is a pact in which countries make cross-border trade easier for businesses. It can reduce or remove tariffs, simplify customs procedures, and improve access for services and investment. The aim is to lower unnecessary costs while setting agreed rules for commercial activity. Specific terms vary by agreement.

The India-UK agreement is called the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, or CETA. India and the UK formally signed it on July 24, 2025, after 14 negotiation rounds that began in May 2021. It entered into force on July 15. The article says the two governments want companies to use its opportunities while addressing trade barriers.

The article does not provide a detailed tariff schedule or list every changed rule. It does show the intended mechanism: stronger market access, fewer obstacles, and closer business engagement. A separate Double Contribution Convention, signed on February 10, 2026, covers social security arrangements rather than the main trade agreement.

03

How large is India-UK trade today, and how is the roughly $60 billion total divided between goods and services?

India-UK trade is currently worth about $60 billion in total. Government data cited in the article puts overall bilateral trade at $60.56 billion. This combines two-way trade in physical goods with trade in services. The figures show that the relationship is not mainly about products crossing borders.

Goods trade was $25.12 billion in 2025-26. Services trade was $35.44 billion in 2024. Adding those figures produces the reported total of $60.56 billion. The goods figure covers trade flowing in both directions, as does the services figure. The article does not provide separate export and import totals for either category.

The UK government reported a different presentation of the relationship: total UK-India trade reached £48 billion in the 12 months to March 2026, up £3 billion year-on-year in current prices. The differing currencies and reporting periods explain why that figure should not be directly compared with the dollar total. Both figures indicate substantial existing trade.

04

How can reducing tariffs and other trade barriers under CETA help businesses increase exports and imports?

Tariffs are taxes placed on imported goods. Reducing them can lower the landed cost of a product, helping exporters compete on price and giving importers access to more affordable supplies. Other trade barriers, such as complex procedures or unclear requirements, can also add time and expense. Removing them can make smaller or newer transactions more practical.

For example, if a company in India sells goods to the UK, lower duties could reduce the price paid by British buyers. A UK company importing from India could then expand orders. The reverse can also happen for British exporters. CETA provides the agreed framework, while customs processes and business compliance determine whether those potential savings reach actual transactions.

The article does not give specific tariff rates or named products. It says ministers stressed effective use of CETA, addressing trade barriers, and stronger business-to-business engagement. Those steps are important because signing an agreement alone does not guarantee higher trade. Companies must learn the rules and use them.

05

What role does the Joint Economic and Trade Committee play in turning the trade agreement into actual business activity?

The Joint Economic and Trade Committee, or JETCO, is a government-to-government forum for advancing shared trade and economic priorities. It gives ministers a regular setting to review cooperation, identify obstacles, and coordinate next steps. That matters because trade agreements need continuing implementation after they are signed.

India’s Piyush Goyal and the UK’s Jonathan Reynolds co-chaired the 16th JETCO meeting in New Delhi. They emphasised effective use of CETA, action on trade barriers, stronger institutional mechanisms, and business-to-business engagement. These channels can help companies understand the agreement and raise practical problems that governments may need to resolve.

The meeting also included wider regional engagement. Goyal and Jitin Prasada met visiting UK mayors to discuss trade, investment, and innovation partnerships. The 17th JETCO will take place in the UK in 2027. Together, these meetings create continuing opportunities to connect national policy with businesses, universities, innovators, and regional leaders.

06

Why are services, such as finance, technology, and professional services, an important part of trade between India and the UK?

Services matter because they let businesses trade expertise and activities, not only physical products. Finance, technology, and professional services can be delivered through offices, digital networks, or teams working across countries. They can also support goods trade by providing payments, software, consulting, design, and logistics. Their value is often created without a shipment crossing a border.

The article’s figures show this importance clearly. India-UK services trade was $35.44 billion in 2024, compared with $25.12 billion in two-way goods trade in 2025-26. The article does not break the services figure into finance, technology, professional services, or other categories. It therefore supports the scale of services trade, but not a category-by-category ranking.

CETA’s broader opportunity is to help businesses expand this exchange alongside merchandise trade. The ministers called for stronger business engagement and fewer barriers. If companies can use the agreement effectively, services may remain a major route toward the shared $120 billion trade ambition for 2030.

07

What is bilateral trade, and why do countries trade with one another instead of producing every good and service domestically?

Bilateral trade is the exchange of goods and services between two countries. India-UK bilateral trade therefore includes what Indian businesses sell to the UK and what UK businesses sell to India. The article measures it as combined two-way goods and services trade. It reports a total of about $60.56 billion.

Countries trade instead of producing everything domestically because businesses and workers often develop different strengths. Exchange can give consumers and companies more choice, lower costs, specialised expertise, or access to products unavailable at home. Services can also be traded across borders, so economic exchange is not limited to physical goods. These are general reasons for international trade.

The India-UK figures show why this relationship matters. Goods trade was $25.12 billion in 2025-26, while services trade was $35.44 billion in 2024. CETA is intended to make such exchange easier, and both governments want to double total bilateral trade to $120 billion by 2030. JETCO will support that effort.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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