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International Relations18 Oct 2026 · about 6 min

Zelenskyy warns Trump sanctions waiver risks fueling Russian aggression

The brief

Trump’s executive order removed the immediate threat of several Russia-related penalties. These included tariffs on certain goods and sanctions against buyers of Russian oil and gas. The measures had been scheduled to begin the following week under the Graham Act, which Trump signed into law in September. The law allowed the president to waive those penalties by telling Congress they were not in the national interest. Trump used that authority on Friday night. His order said the waiver would remain until he or senior officials decide that further action is appropriate. The change matters because the law was designed to pressure Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. Zelenskyy said reversing the measures helps only Russia and could encourage more attacks. Russia’s investment envoy called the waiver historic, saying the penalties might have halted economic cooperation between Russia and the United States.

01

What did President Trump's waiver change about the Russia-related sanctions and tariffs that were scheduled to begin?

Trump’s executive order removed the immediate threat of several Russia-related penalties. These included tariffs on certain goods and sanctions against buyers of Russian oil and gas. The measures had been scheduled to begin the following week under the Graham Act, which Trump signed into law in September.

The law allowed the president to waive those penalties by telling Congress they were not in the national interest. Trump used that authority on Friday night. His order said the waiver would remain until he or senior officials decide that further action is appropriate.

The change matters because the law was designed to pressure Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. Zelenskyy said reversing the measures helps only Russia and could encourage more attacks. Russia’s investment envoy called the waiver historic, saying the penalties might have halted economic cooperation between Russia and the United States.

02

What is a sanctions waiver, and how can a president use one to delay or cancel penalties required by a law?

A sanctions waiver is a formal decision to exempt someone from penalties that a law would otherwise require. It can stop sanctions before they begin or keep them from applying while the waiver remains active. In this case, the waiver covered Russia-related sanctions and tariffs scheduled under the Graham Act.

The act gave the president a specific mechanism. Trump had to inform Congress that he determined the penalties were not in the national interest. His Friday executive order used that authority and said the exemption would continue until he or senior officials decide further action is appropriate.

That power changes how a law operates in practice. Congress created the penalties, but the waiver lets the president pause their enforcement. Supporters can view it as flexibility for national interests. Critics, including Representative Don Beyer, said Trump’s move defied Congress’s intent to punish Russia for its war.

03

How large could the Graham Act's tariffs have been, and which countries or goods could they have affected?

The Graham Act authorized tariffs of up to 100% within 30 days. That meant imported goods could have become far more expensive if the penalties had taken effect. The law targeted trade connected to Russian crude oil and gas, not only goods shipped directly from Russia.

The tariffs could apply to all goods entering the United States from the five largest importers of Russian crude oil or gas. They could also cover any country that knowingly bought Russian oil or gas 30 days after enactment. Another category included countries among the top five helping Russia evade sanctions.

China and India were especially important examples because they are among the biggest buyers of Russian oil. Their governments warned that new U.S. tariffs could damage ties. Trump’s waiver prevented these tariffs from starting the following week, though it can later be ended if officials decide further action is appropriate.

04

Why were China and India especially important to the possible effects of these measures?

China and India mattered because the Graham Act could penalize countries that bought Russian oil or gas. Both are among the biggest buyers of Russian oil, so their trade decisions could determine how widely the U.S. measures reached. Their importance also meant the policy could affect relationships beyond Russia and Ukraine.

The law allowed tariffs of up to 100% on U.S. imports from the five largest importers of Russian crude oil or gas. It also covered countries knowingly buying Russian oil or gas after the law’s 30-day window. China objected to what it called long-arm jurisdiction without a basis in international law. India warned tariffs could affect bilateral ties.

Their concerns helped show the policy’s broader stakes. Penalties aimed at Moscow could also disrupt commerce with two major countries. Analysts said the measures might raise oil prices, while the waiver avoided that immediate pressure. The article does not state what China or India did next.

05

What could happen to Russia's economy and military capacity when sanctions are imposed or removed?

Sanctions can reduce a targeted country’s access to trade, energy buyers, money, and other economic relationships. That pressure can make it harder to support government activity and military operations. Removing sanctions does the opposite: it preserves channels for commerce and can provide an economic reprieve.

The Graham Act threatened tariffs of up to 100% on goods tied to major Russian-energy buyers. It also included penalties for countries buying Russian oil and gas or helping Russia evade sanctions. Russia’s investment envoy, Kirill Dmitriev, said the measures could have effectively brought all economic cooperation between Russia and the United States to a halt.

Trump’s waiver kept those penalties from starting. Zelenskyy argued that this would encourage President Vladimir Putin and further Russian attacks. The article reports no exact estimate of economic damage or military funding. It does state that Russia struck more than 15 Ukrainian power sites on Friday, which Zelenskyy cited as evidence that the war continues.

06

Why might sanctions on countries that buy Russian oil raise oil prices for people in the United States and elsewhere?

Sanctions on major buyers can affect oil prices because they may disrupt established purchases of Russian crude and gas. If buyers stop purchasing, face tariffs, or must find replacement supplies, the market may have less readily available oil. Buyers could then pay more, with costs spreading through fuel and other products.

The Graham Act threatened tariffs of up to 100% on goods from the five largest importers of Russian crude oil or gas. It also targeted countries knowingly buying Russian energy after 30 days. China and India raised concerns, and analysts warned that the measures could further raise oil prices.

The timing mattered in the United States. The article says Americans were already facing increased costs largely attributed to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, while midterm elections approached. Trump said the waiver served national interests, and the order prevented the new penalties from beginning the following week. The article does not quantify any resulting price change.

07

What are economic sanctions and tariffs, and how are they meant to change another country's behavior?

Economic sanctions are restrictions on trade, purchases, or other dealings with a country or its entities. Tariffs are charges placed on imported goods. Both are tools of economic pressure. They can raise costs, limit market access, and signal that certain actions will bring consequences.

The Graham Act combined these tools against Russia and countries connected to its energy trade. It would have imposed tariffs of up to 100% on goods from major buyers of Russian crude or gas. It also included penalties for knowingly purchasing Russian oil and gas or helping Russia evade sanctions. The goal was to increase pressure over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The intended mechanism is behavioral change. Economic pain may encourage a government to stop or alter the conduct being targeted. In this case, lawmakers sought pressure on Russia, while China and India warned about effects on their ties with Washington. Trump waived the measures, saying the exemption served U.S. national interests.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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