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International Relations19 Oct 2026 · about 6 min

Trump’s Policies Upping the Pressure on Zelensky

The brief

Trump’s actions shift pressure away from Russia and toward Ukraine. The article says he first agreed with Vladimir Putin on Russian diesel exports, then called for Ukraine to stop attacking Russian refineries. He also scrapped a new sanctions package against Moscow passed by the US Senate. These steps have led European critics to question whether he is still acting as a neutral mediator. The pressure is also personal and political. Abbas Gallyamov says Trump keeps looking for reasons to attack Zelensky. He argues that Trump may need to portray Zelensky as a bad person so he does not have to question his own decisions. Trump is also seeking lower fuel prices before the US midterm elections. The consequences could be serious for Ukraine. Der Tagesspiegel says Ukraine still relies on Washington for air defence, satellites, and reconnaissance. European commentators therefore urge continued support for Ukraine and warn that Trump’s approach could bring not peace, but Ukrainian defeat followed by civil war.

01

What specific actions has Donald Trump taken that are increasing pressure on Volodymyr Zelensky and Ukraine?

Trump’s actions shift pressure away from Russia and toward Ukraine. The article says he first agreed with Vladimir Putin on Russian diesel exports, then called for Ukraine to stop attacking Russian refineries. He also scrapped a new sanctions package against Moscow passed by the US Senate. These steps have led European critics to question whether he is still acting as a neutral mediator.

The pressure is also personal and political. Abbas Gallyamov says Trump keeps looking for reasons to attack Zelensky. He argues that Trump may need to portray Zelensky as a bad person so he does not have to question his own decisions. Trump is also seeking lower fuel prices before the US midterm elections.

The consequences could be serious for Ukraine. Der Tagesspiegel says Ukraine still relies on Washington for air defence, satellites, and reconnaissance. European commentators therefore urge continued support for Ukraine and warn that Trump’s approach could bring not peace, but Ukrainian defeat followed by civil war.

02

What is a refinery, and why would attacks on Russian refineries matter in a war?

A refinery processes crude oil into products people and armies use, including diesel, petrol, and aviation fuel. Refineries matter in wartime because fuel powers vehicles, aircraft, generators, and supply networks. Damage can therefore affect both civilian energy markets and military operations.

The article focuses on Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries. Trump wants those attacks to stop, partly because disruption can push fuel prices higher. He has also reached a deal with Putin on Russian diesel exports. Paolo Gentiloni argues that this policy is pointless because the Gulf war, rather than refinery attacks, caused the price surge he discusses.

The immediate dispute is therefore about more than individual facilities. It concerns Russia’s fuel supply, export income, and the wider energy market. Europe’s press debates whether stopping these attacks limits pressure on Russia and whether Washington is effectively helping the attacker rather than the attacked country.

03

How much does Ukraine still depend on the United States for air defence, satellite information, reconnaissance, and other military support?

The article describes Ukraine’s dependence as important but does not measure it precisely. It says Ukraine no longer receives direct financial aid from Washington, yet still relies on the United States for air defence, satellites, and reconnaissance. No percentage, equipment total, funding amount, or comparison with European support is provided.

This support matters because it supplies capabilities that cannot be replaced instantly. Air defence helps protect cities and infrastructure. Satellite information and reconnaissance help Ukraine observe Russian forces and understand battlefield movements. Together, these capabilities support planning, warning, and survival during the war.

The current reality is therefore mixed. Washington may reduce direct financial assistance while remaining central to Ukraine’s military capacity. The article warns that Ukraine already faces a harsh winter and that conditions may worsen if American support is reduced or constrained. Europe is urged to continue supporting Ukraine and stand firm.

04

What could happen to Ukraine's ability to defend itself if Washington reduces or conditions that support?

Reducing US support could weaken Ukraine’s ability to defend its territory and population. The article specifically identifies air defence, satellites, and reconnaissance as areas where Ukraine remains dependent on Washington. Losing or limiting these capabilities could make it harder to detect threats, protect infrastructure, and plan military operations.

Der Tagesspiegel provides the clearest warning. It says Ukraine was already facing its harshest winter since Russia’s full-scale invasion began. If American pressure continues, the winter is likely to become even harsher. The problem is not only battlefield strength. Air defence also affects whether cities and essential systems can withstand attacks.

The article presents Europe as the main possible counterweight. European governments are urged to keep supporting Ukraine and tell Trump that his approach will not produce peace. The warning is that reduced support could lead first to Ukrainian defeat and then to civil war, rather than a stable settlement.

05

What are sanctions, and how can cancelling or weakening sanctions affect Russia's economy and war effort?

Sanctions are government restrictions placed on a country, its institutions, companies, or individuals. They can limit access to money, technology, trade, and international markets. Their purpose is to raise the cost of policies that other governments oppose, including military aggression.

The article says Trump scrapped a new sanctions package against Moscow that had been passed by the US Senate. That decision removes or delays additional pressure that lawmakers intended to impose. It also came alongside a diesel deal with Putin and Trump’s call for Ukraine to stop attacking Russian refineries.

The article does not measure the economic effect of cancelling the package. In general, weaker sanctions can make it easier for a targeted country to trade, obtain resources, and support government spending. Critics therefore fear that this approach benefits Russia and undermines Western leverage, while supporters of negotiations may see fewer restrictions as useful for diplomacy.

06

What alternatives do European countries have for supporting Ukraine if the United States stops providing the same level of assistance?

The article presents European support as the main alternative if Washington reduces assistance. It does not list a detailed European military plan, funding total, or specific weapons. Instead, it calls on European governments to continue supporting Ukraine and to make clear that Trump’s approach will not bring peace.

Europe can also use political pressure and sanctions. Paolo Gentiloni criticises the cancellation of the new US sanctions package, while Der Tagesspiegel argues that Europe must stand firm. These actions would signal that Ukraine should not be forced to accept a settlement shaped only by American pressure and Russian demands.

The challenge is that Europe may not easily replace every US capability. The article says Ukraine remains dependent on Washington for air defence, satellites, and reconnaissance. European support could therefore help sustain Ukraine, but the text does not claim that Europe can immediately substitute for all American assistance. Its central message is to continue support rather than accept defeat as inevitable.

07

Why does the conflict over Ukraine test the meaning of sovereignty, alliances, and the postwar Western security system?

Sovereignty means a country’s right to govern itself and defend its territory without being forced by another power. The article frames Ukraine as the attacked country and Russia as the attacker. Trump originally presented himself as neutral between them, but critics say his recent actions appear to side with Putin instead.

The alliance question is practical as well as political. Ukraine no longer receives direct US financial aid, yet still depends on Washington for air defence, satellites, and reconnaissance. Europe is urged to continue supporting Ukraine. This shows how military dependence can give an ally significant influence over another country’s choices.

The wider issue concerns the future of the West. Gentiloni asks what will remain of the West if Trump openly sides with Putin. Other commentators warn that hesitation could produce Ukrainian defeat and civil war. The dispute therefore tests whether Western alliances can maintain a common response to invasion and defend the principle of national sovereignty.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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