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Defence & Security20 Oct 2026 · about 7 min

Friedrich Merz: Many Germans Underestimate the Threat from Russia

The brief

Merz warned that people in Germany are not taking Russia’s threat seriously enough. He said the war in Ukraine is only part of the wider picture. In his view, Russia is challenging the political order of the entire European continent. This matters because public understanding can shape support for Ukraine and European security policies. Merz said many people fail to see Russia’s broader objective. He argued that Moscow is not seeking only territorial gains in Ukraine. He said Russia fears democracy, open societies, and the success of European integration, and wants to undermine them. These remarks frame the conflict as a political and security challenge for Europe as a whole. The warning comes as European countries continue supporting Ukraine without US funding for weapons and equipment since the beginning of last year. Merz said this assistance is a major burden on public budgets. He nevertheless argued that European and non-European partners can continue helping until the war ends.

01

What warning did German Chancellor Friedrich Merz make about how people in Germany view the threat from Russia?

Merz warned that people in Germany are not taking Russia’s threat seriously enough. He said the war in Ukraine is only part of the wider picture. In his view, Russia is challenging the political order of the entire European continent. This matters because public understanding can shape support for Ukraine and European security policies.

Merz said many people fail to see Russia’s broader objective. He argued that Moscow is not seeking only territorial gains in Ukraine. He said Russia fears democracy, open societies, and the success of European integration, and wants to undermine them. These remarks frame the conflict as a political and security challenge for Europe as a whole.

The warning comes as European countries continue supporting Ukraine without US funding for weapons and equipment since the beginning of last year. Merz said this assistance is a major burden on public budgets. He nevertheless argued that European and non-European partners can continue helping until the war ends.

02

What does it mean to say that Russia is trying to destabilize Europe's political order?

To destabilize Europe’s political order means trying to weaken the continent’s shared political stability and cooperation. In the article, Merz connects this danger with attacks on democracy, open societies, and European integration. The concern is therefore broader than a military advance. It involves damaging the principles and partnerships that help European countries act together.

Merz described Russia as seeking to undermine the success of European integration. He said Russia’s leaders fear democracy and open societies. The article does not list particular Russian operations behind this effort. It presents Merz’s assessment that Moscow’s objective goes beyond territorial gains in Ukraine and threatens the wider political structure of Europe.

This interpretation makes the war relevant to countries beyond Ukraine. If European integration and democratic confidence are weakened, governments may face greater pressure when choosing how to support Ukraine or cooperate with one another. Merz said many people underestimate this danger, even though he considers it a threat that exists every day.

03

How broad is the threat described in the article: is it limited to gaining Ukrainian territory, or does it also involve weakening democracy, open societies, and European integration?

The threat described by Merz is broad. He explicitly said Russia’s objective is not limited to territorial gain in Ukraine. Instead, he presented the war as part of an effort to destabilize Europe’s wider political order. This matters because it treats Ukraine’s defense as connected to the resilience of democratic and cooperative Europe.

Merz identified three targets: democracy, open societies, and European integration. He said Russia’s leaders fear these achievements and want to undermine them. The article does not provide a detailed list of actions for each target. Its central mechanism is political destabilization: weakening the values and cooperation that bind European countries together.

The consequences extend beyond the battlefield. European governments are continuing to support Ukraine despite the financial pressure, while peace discussions are being prepared in Norway. Merz also urges Donald Trump to see a stable Europe and European Union as being in America’s interest. The article therefore presents the conflict as both a military and political contest.

04

Why do European leaders regard the war in Ukraine as a wider European security issue rather than only a conflict between Russia and Ukraine?

European leaders can view the war as a wider security issue when they believe its consequences reach beyond Ukraine’s borders. Merz said Russia is trying to destabilize the entire political order of Europe. He also said Moscow wants to weaken democracy, open societies, and European integration. This connects Ukraine’s defense with the security and political stability of other European countries.

The article gives a concrete example through European support for Ukraine. The United States has provided no money for weapons and equipment since the beginning of last year, according to Merz. A coalition of European and non-European states is now supplying help. Merz said this creates a major burden for national budgets, but that assistance should continue until the war ends.

This framing means the conflict affects policy choices across Europe. Governments must decide how much support they can finance and how closely they should coordinate. Merz also tells Trump that a stable Europe and European Union serve American interests. The article does not describe any attack on another European country.

05

What consequences could follow if the United States reduces military support and European countries must finance more of Ukraine's defense themselves?

If the United States reduces military support, European countries must provide more weapons, equipment, and money themselves. The article says US funding for weapons and equipment stopped at the beginning of last year. Merz described continued European assistance as a major burden on public budgets. The immediate consequence is greater financial pressure on the countries supporting Ukraine.

The replacement mechanism is the coalition of willing European and non-European states. Merz said this group is now helping Ukraine and that it shows they can manage the effort alone. He also said they are trying to continue the assistance until the war ends. The article does not give a total cost or identify every member of the coalition.

The political effects are visible in the debate over American involvement. Merz repeatedly tries to persuade Donald Trump that a stable Europe and European Union benefit the United States. At the same time, Washington and Kyiv face rising tensions over military and intelligence support. Peace talks may continue, but the financing and delivery of defense assistance remain central issues.

06

Who makes up the 'coalition of the willing,' and how is it supporting Ukraine while new peace talks are being discussed?

The “coalition of the willing” is described in the article as a group of European and non-European states supporting Ukraine. Merz said these countries are now providing help after the United States stopped giving money for weapons and equipment at the beginning of last year. The article does not name every participating country or give the coalition’s total size.

Its support is practical and military. The coalition is helping supply Ukraine during the continuing war, and Merz said the effort is a major burden for public budgets. He argued that the group’s work shows Europe and its partners can manage the support themselves. They intend to continue assistance until the war ends.

At the same time, a new negotiation round is planned in Norway. Trumps Schwiegersohn Jared Kushner and Nahost-Gesandter Steve Witkoff are expected to travel there, with two sources expecting Ukrainian President Wolodymyr Selenskyj to attend. The schedule remains provisional. These talks occur amid growing tensions between Washington and Kyiv over military and intelligence support.

07

What is collective security, and why can an attack on one European country affect the security and political choices of many others?

Collective security is the principle that countries protect peace together, rather than treating every conflict as a separate national problem. An attack or destabilizing campaign against one country can affect others through shared borders, alliances, political institutions, and public confidence. This established concept helps explain why governments may respond jointly to a war beyond their own territory.

The article applies that logic to Russia’s war against Ukraine. Merz said Russia is trying to destabilize Europe’s entire political order, not merely seize Ukrainian territory. He also said Moscow wants to weaken democracy, open societies, and European integration. European and non-European states therefore support Ukraine through a coalition that provides weapons and equipment.

This shared approach carries costs. Merz called the assistance a major burden on national budgets, especially after US funding stopped at the beginning of last year. Governments must decide how much help to provide and how long to sustain it. The article also shows that these choices affect relations with Washington and the prospects for peace negotiations.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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