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Politics & Governance23 Oct 2026 · about 7 min

Israel election: October 7 failures, military conscription and cost of living top voters’ concerns

The brief

These issues connect national security with everyday life. The October 7 attack exposed failures in intelligence and decision-making. Military service affects who carries the burden of defence. The cost of living determines whether families can manage higher prices and wartime disruption. Together, they test the government’s competence and priorities. The attack killed more than 1,200 people, creating a demand for an independent state commission of inquiry. Meanwhile, tens of thousands of reservists have been repeatedly called up. Ultra-Orthodox exemptions have become a central dispute because the army warns of manpower shortages. The government is also fighting across Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iran and Yemen. These pressures shape the election because voters must judge both security policy and its social cost. Prolonged mobilisation can damage households and the economy. Religious exemptions could deepen political divisions. The campaign therefore asks whether Israel can sustain its current military strategy while preserving public trust and economic stability.

01

Why are the October 7 security failures, military conscription, and the cost of living among the main issues shaping Israel's election?

These issues connect national security with everyday life. The October 7 attack exposed failures in intelligence and decision-making. Military service affects who carries the burden of defence. The cost of living determines whether families can manage higher prices and wartime disruption. Together, they test the government’s competence and priorities.

The attack killed more than 1,200 people, creating a demand for an independent state commission of inquiry. Meanwhile, tens of thousands of reservists have been repeatedly called up. Ultra-Orthodox exemptions have become a central dispute because the army warns of manpower shortages. The government is also fighting across Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iran and Yemen.

These pressures shape the election because voters must judge both security policy and its social cost. Prolonged mobilisation can damage households and the economy. Religious exemptions could deepen political divisions. The campaign therefore asks whether Israel can sustain its current military strategy while preserving public trust and economic stability.

02

What is a state commission of inquiry, and why does it matter who appoints its members?

A state commission of inquiry examines a major failure through a formal, independent process. It can investigate decisions, warnings, institutional mistakes and accountability. Its purpose is not simply to assign blame. It also seeks lessons that can prevent another disaster. That makes the body especially important after a trauma as severe as October 7.

Israel has used such commissions after previous national crises. Gadi Eisenkot has promised to establish one, calling it a way to prevent the next disaster. Netanyahu’s government instead proposed a bipartisan commission whose members would be appointed by politicians. Yair Lapid said that arrangement could whitewash those responsible.

The appointment method affects credibility. An independent process may reassure victims and the public that investigators can examine ministers and security officials without political pressure. A politician-appointed panel may be seen as protecting the government that was in office during the attack. The dispute therefore concerns both truth-finding and democratic accountability.

03

How large has the human and military burden been since October 7, including more than 1,200 people killed in the attack and the repeated mobilisation of tens of thousands of reservists?

The human burden began with the deadliest day in Israel’s history. Hamas’s October 7, 2023 attack killed more than 1,200 people and caused profound national trauma. Its consequences continue to shape politics, society and the country’s collective psyche. The attack also triggered a prolonged military response rather than a short operation.

Since 2023, tens of thousands of reservists have been repeatedly mobilised. Many have served while Israel maintains operations in Gaza, southern Lebanon and Syria, conducts near-daily West Bank operations, and fights or strikes opponents linked to Iran. Military leaders continue warning of manpower shortages. Repeated call-ups impose significant personal and economic costs.

This burden affects more than soldiers. Families lose workers, businesses lose staff, and reservists face repeated disruption. The article does not quantify every financial or civilian effect, but it shows that the strain is national. Election debates over conscription and strategy reflect a question of sustainability: how long can Israel maintain multiple campaigns with limited manpower?

04

How has Israel's security strategy changed from relying on deterrence and short wars to maintaining forces across several fronts for long periods?

Israel’s older security doctrine rested on strong intelligence, deterrence and short wars. The aim was to prevent major attacks and end conflicts quickly. After October 7, the government adopted a more prolonged model. Forces remain in security zones, while operations continue across several territories and against multiple opponents.

The army remains in Gaza, southern Lebanon and Syria. Israel also conducts near-daily operations in the occupied West Bank, has launched two wars with Iran, and has struck Yemen’s Tehran-backed Houthi rebels. Tens of thousands of reservists have been mobilised repeatedly. Military leaders warn that manpower is running short.

This strategy may provide continuing pressure against threats, but it demands sustained resources. Ofer Shelah described a change from deterrence and prosperity between wars to a society living permanently by the sword. The long-term implications include higher personal and economic costs, international criticism, and a continuing debate over whether Israel can sustain several fronts at once.

05

What consequences could ending or preserving ultra-Orthodox exemptions from military service have for manpower, coalition politics, and Israel's religious identity?

The exemption dispute is both a military and identity question. Israel’s army faces manpower shortages, and opposition parties argue that wider service is necessary for fairness and defence. Ultra-Orthodox parties instead want religious students to remain exempt. The issue therefore asks who must serve and what place religious practice should have in public life.

Netanyahu’s Likud party and far-right coalition partners generally support preserving the exemptions. Opposition parties support ending them and say they would not join a government containing ultra-Orthodox parties. Protests have included ultra-Orthodox demonstrators storming the military police chief’s home. Netanyahu has criticised arrests of draft dodgers but says those not studying full time should enlist.

Ending exemptions could add personnel and satisfy opponents, but it risks coalition collapse and stronger religious backlash. Preserving them may protect the governing alliance, yet leave shortages and resentment unresolved. The dispute also extends to gender separation and Torah-focused legislation, making conscription a wider contest over Israel’s Jewish identity.

06

Why can a country experience strong GDP growth and low unemployment while households still face a very high cost of living?

GDP growth measures the size of the economy, while unemployment measures how many people lack work. Neither directly shows whether households can afford daily life. Families may still struggle if rent, food, transport, utilities or borrowing costs rise faster than wages. Growth can also benefit some sectors and earners more than others, leaving many people feeling financially squeezed.

For example, a person may have a job in a growing economy but spend a larger share of income on housing and essentials. Employers may be hiring while household purchasing power weakens. The key mechanism is the gap between earnings and living costs, not simply whether national output or employment is increasing.

The supplied article excerpt says the economy remains a major concern despite security dominating the campaign, but it ends before giving supporting economic figures. The election therefore links economic performance to lived experience. Governments must show that growth reaches households, not only that national indicators look healthy.

07

How do prolonged wars and a doubled defence budget affect public finances and the trade-offs governments make between security and civilian needs?

Wars require money for personnel, equipment, operations, rehabilitation and readiness. When fighting continues across several fronts, those costs recur instead of ending after a short campaign. A doubled defence budget would therefore increase pressure on public finances. Governments may need to raise revenue, borrow more, reduce other spending, or accept slower progress on civilian programmes.

The article describes repeated reserve mobilisation, military manpower shortages and campaigns in Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, Iran and Yemen. It also says the wars carry personal and economic costs. These are the mechanisms behind the trade-off: defence absorbs workers, funds and political attention, while households and public services still need support.

The supplied excerpt does not state that Israel’s defence budget doubled, nor does it identify cuts or tax changes. It does show that prolonged conflict creates a lasting sustainability problem. Future governments must balance security needs against living costs, economic stability and civilian priorities without weakening national defence.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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