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Economy & Business23 Oct 2026 · about 6 min

India-US trade deal in ‘last stage’, says EAM Jaishankar: ‘It’s never done until it’s done’

The brief

A trade agreement sets mutually accepted rules for buying and selling goods and services between countries. India and the United States have negotiated their agreement for more than a year. Jaishankar described it as being in the “last mile,” meaning the broad deal is close but not complete. The phrase matters because final compromises can be harder than early negotiations. The two sides may agree on most provisions but still disagree over sensitive details. Jaishankar said the negotiating teams were working through such challenges, but he did not reveal what they were. The current position is promising but uncertain. Jaishankar, Marco Rubio, and Piyush Goyal have all indicated that negotiations are nearing their final stages. Jaishankar also stressed that “it’s never done till it’s done,” so no completed agreement can be assumed until both governments formally settle and approve it.

01

What trade agreement are India and the United States trying to finalize, and what does “last mile” mean in this negotiation?

A trade agreement sets mutually accepted rules for buying and selling goods and services between countries. India and the United States have negotiated their agreement for more than a year. Jaishankar described it as being in the “last mile,” meaning the broad deal is close but not complete.

The phrase matters because final compromises can be harder than early negotiations. The two sides may agree on most provisions but still disagree over sensitive details. Jaishankar said the negotiating teams were working through such challenges, but he did not reveal what they were.

The current position is promising but uncertain. Jaishankar, Marco Rubio, and Piyush Goyal have all indicated that negotiations are nearing their final stages. Jaishankar also stressed that “it’s never done till it’s done,” so no completed agreement can be assumed until both governments formally settle and approve it.

02

How large is India-US trade, and why would a deal between the two countries matter economically?

The source does not state the value of India-US trade. Therefore, no accurate trade figure can be given from this article alone. In general, a bilateral trade agreement matters because it establishes clearer rules for businesses selling goods or services across borders.

Its main economic mechanism is market access. If governments reduce tariffs or other barriers, exporters may find it easier to compete, while importers gain more supplier choices. Companies can plan investment with greater confidence when trade rules are stable. These changes can affect prices, production, employment, and supply chains.

The likely importance is therefore broader than one announced number. A deal could strengthen commercial ties and give businesses clearer expectations. However, its actual effects would depend on the final terms, including which products receive better access and what each government agrees to change. The article does not describe those provisions.

03

Which unresolved issues can make the final stage of a trade negotiation difficult, even after most of the agreement has been settled?

The final stage of a trade negotiation can be difficult because the remaining subjects are often the most sensitive. Governments may still need to settle tariffs, quotas, standards, services access, or protections for domestic industries. Each side must decide how much access it will offer and what it wants in return.

The article provides one important example of the mechanism: Jaishankar said the deal was in the “last mile,” but warned that the final or “penultimate” miles can create challenges. He said the teams were working through them and declined to say exactly what those challenges were.

That leaves the specific disagreements unknown. The talks are close, according to Jaishankar, Rubio, and Goyal, but proximity does not guarantee success. The final outcome depends on whether negotiators can bridge those gaps and secure approval from their governments. Until then, the agreement remains unfinished.

04

Who is negotiating the deal, and what roles do Jaishankar, Piyush Goyal, Marco Rubio, and their governments play?

The article identifies negotiating teams from both countries as the people working through the remaining issues. India’s government is represented publicly by commerce minister Piyush Goyal on trade matters and external affairs minister S Jaishankar on broader diplomatic relations. Their roles overlap politically, but the article does not list the full negotiating teams.

US secretary of state Marco Rubio has also spoken about the agreement moving toward its final stages. He discussed it with Jaishankar during his visit to India. Goyal and Rubio therefore provide public signals about progress, while Jaishankar places the negotiations within the wider India-US relationship.

The governments remain the decision-making authorities behind the talks. Negotiators can work out language and compromises, but the agreement is not complete until the two sides settle the remaining matters. Jaishankar’s warning that it is never done until done reflects that distinction between progress at the negotiating table and a finished deal.

05

What could happen to businesses, consumers, workers, and India-US relations if the trade agreement is completed—or if negotiations fail?

A completed agreement could give businesses clearer rules for selling, sourcing, and investing across the two markets. Consumers might gain from more choices or lower trade-related costs, while workers could benefit if the deal expands production and services. The exact results would depend on its provisions, which the article does not provide.

The mechanism is reciprocal access. When each government reduces selected barriers, companies can reach more customers and suppliers. A deal can also signal greater policy stability. If negotiations fail, businesses may continue facing uncertainty, and existing disagreements over trade policy could remain part of the wider relationship.

The diplomatic consequences could also be significant. The article says bilateral ties have already been affected by unpredictable US trade policies, immigration restrictions, and growing Washington ties with Pakistan’s military leadership. Completion might support cooperation, but failure could leave those strains unresolved. No definite economic or political outcome is stated.

06

How have tariffs, immigration restrictions, energy policy, and US relations with Pakistan affected India-US ties during this negotiation?

The negotiation has taken place during a period of strained India-US relations. The article points to the Trump administration’s unpredictable trade policies and immigration restrictions affecting Indian professionals. These issues can reduce confidence and make cooperation harder, even while both governments seek a trade agreement.

The article also says Washington’s growing ties with Pakistan’s military leadership have affected bilateral ties. India views Pakistan-backed terrorism as a central security concern. Jaishankar argued that India cannot wait for the United States to understand its position and said India must respond to terrorism itself.

Energy policy is not explained in the main report. A related headline mentions energy needs in connection with a Russia sanctions waiver, but gives no details. The current trade talks therefore sit within a complicated relationship: economic negotiations continue, while immigration, security, Pakistan, and broader US policy remain sources of friction.

07

Why do countries negotiate trade agreements, and how do tariffs and market access influence what each side is willing to give up?

Countries negotiate trade agreements to make cross-border commerce more predictable and to improve access for their businesses. They may seek lower tariffs, fewer restrictions, or clearer rules for goods and services. In return, they often offer similar concessions to the other country.

Tariffs are taxes on imports. They can make foreign products more expensive and protect domestic producers, but they may also limit choice or raise costs for businesses using imported inputs. Market access determines which foreign companies can compete, in which sectors, and under what conditions. These choices create the central bargaining mechanism.

Each government therefore decides what it is willing to give up. It may reduce barriers in areas where consumers or exporters benefit, while defending industries considered sensitive. The article does not describe the India-US deal’s tariff schedules or market-access terms. Its “last mile” status shows that some final compromises remain necessary.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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