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Defence & Security24 Oct 2026 · about 6 min

Merz warns of threat from Russia amid Germany's political turmoil

The brief

Friedrich Merz warned that Russia poses a broad security threat to Germany, not only through its war against Ukraine. He pointed to cyberattacks, sabotage, attempted attacks on critical infrastructure, and efforts to weaken democratic institutions and public trust. He described Europe’s security situation as increasingly dangerous. The warning matters because these operations can affect daily life without a conventional invasion. Merz cited an attempted drone attack involving a Ukrainian cargo plane at Leipzig Airport on August 4. Germany’s intelligence chief also called the confrontation with Russia more dangerous and said Germany faced a direct, comprehensive threat. Merz called on his coalition to unite behind security spending and economic reforms. His government is already weakened by poor regional election results, falling approval, coalition disagreements, and gains by extremist parties. He argued that economic recovery and social stability are necessary to restore confidence and protect Germany’s freedom.

01

What threats did Chancellor Friedrich Merz say Russia poses to Germany, and why did he call on his coalition to unite?

Friedrich Merz warned that Russia poses a broad security threat to Germany, not only through its war against Ukraine. He pointed to cyberattacks, sabotage, attempted attacks on critical infrastructure, and efforts to weaken democratic institutions and public trust. He described Europe’s security situation as increasingly dangerous.

The warning matters because these operations can affect daily life without a conventional invasion. Merz cited an attempted drone attack involving a Ukrainian cargo plane at Leipzig Airport on August 4. Germany’s intelligence chief also called the confrontation with Russia more dangerous and said Germany faced a direct, comprehensive threat.

Merz called on his coalition to unite behind security spending and economic reforms. His government is already weakened by poor regional election results, falling approval, coalition disagreements, and gains by extremist parties. He argued that economic recovery and social stability are necessary to restore confidence and protect Germany’s freedom.

02

What is hybrid warfare, and how is it different from conventional military warfare?

Hybrid warfare is a strategy that combines military and nonmilitary pressure. It can include cyberattacks, sabotage, disinformation, covert operations, political influence, and attacks on infrastructure. The goal is often to weaken a country’s security and confidence without starting a clearly defined conventional war.

Conventional warfare is more direct. It normally involves armed forces using weapons, troops, aircraft, or ships against military targets. Hybrid operations can be harder to identify because they may remain below the threshold of open armed conflict. Responsibility can also be denied or obscured.

The article uses the term in the context of accusations against Russia. Merz described cyberattacks, sabotage, and attempted attacks on critical infrastructure across Europe as part of the threat. Russia has repeatedly rejected accusations that it conducts hybrid warfare against Germany and other European countries. The article does not describe a single formal definition, so this explanation uses established security terminology.

03

How broad is the alleged threat: what kinds of operations and targets did Merz and Germany's intelligence chief identify across Germany and Europe?

Merz presented the alleged Russian threat as broad and cross-border. He mentioned cyberattacks, sabotage, and attempted attacks against critical infrastructure across Europe. He also warned that such operations seek to undermine democratic institutions and weaken public confidence, making the target not only physical systems but also political stability.

One example was an attempted drone attack involving a Ukrainian cargo plane at Leipzig Airport on August 4. Martin Jaeger, Germany’s foreign intelligence chief, described the Leipzig incident as one example of a more dangerous confrontation. He said Germany could become embroiled in a violent conflict with Russia.

The article does not identify every operation or confirm who carried out the Leipzig attempt. Russia rejects accusations of a hybrid campaign. Still, Merz and Jaeger described the alleged activity as reaching across Germany and Europe, from airports and critical infrastructure to democratic institutions and public trust.

04

What could happen if cyberattacks or sabotage disrupt critical infrastructure or weaken public confidence in democratic institutions?

Disrupting critical infrastructure could interfere with services that people and businesses depend on. The article does not list specific systems, but its warning covers infrastructure across Europe. A serious incident could therefore create disruption, economic losses, public anxiety, and pressure on governments to respond quickly.

The political mechanism is equally important. Merz said alleged operations aim to undermine democratic institutions and weaken public confidence. If people believe authorities cannot protect airports, infrastructure, or elections, trust may fall. That can make societies more divided and give extremist parties greater room to argue that mainstream governments are ineffective.

The article presents these outcomes as risks, not confirmed consequences of a completed attack. Merz said investment was needed to preserve freedom. His government must therefore handle security threats while also restoring economic confidence and maintaining political unity. Failure on either front could deepen public dissatisfaction and make governing harder.

05

How did Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 change Germany's relationship with Russia and Europe's security environment?

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 changed the security environment across Europe. Merz said the war profoundly shook the European peace order. The conflict also made threats from Russia central to Germany’s national-security debate, extending concern beyond Ukraine’s borders.

The relationship between Berlin and Moscow deteriorated sharply after the invasion. In the article’s account, Germany now faces accusations of cyberattacks, sabotage, and attempted attacks on critical infrastructure. Germany’s foreign intelligence chief said the confrontation had entered a more dangerous phase and warned that Germany could become involved in a violent conflict.

Russia rejects accusations that it is conducting hybrid warfare against Germany and other European countries. Even so, Merz called for stronger responses to threats from abroad and investment to preserve freedom. He also linked security to domestic resilience, urging reforms that could revive growth and restore confidence in public institutions.

06

Why are poor regional election results, the rise of the AfD and Left Party, and disputes within Merz's coalition making it harder for his government to act?

Poor regional election results weakened Merz’s political position. The far-right Alternative for Germany finished first in two eastern German states, while the far-left Left Party topped the vote in Berlin. These results showed that mainstream parties were losing ground and increased pressure on the governing coalition.

The mechanism is political fragmentation. Merz’s approval ratings have fallen to record lows, while disagreements have intensified within the coalition and between the CDU and CSU. The parties must still agree on security measures, pensions, taxes, welfare, and economic recovery. Internal conflict can slow decisions and make every compromise more visible.

Merz also rejected cooperation with the AfD, saying anyone who votes with it has no place in the conservative Union. He urged the SPD and Greens not to coalition with the Left Party in Berlin. These positions preserve political boundaries but can further complicate coalition-building and reform.

07

How does Germany's coalition-based parliamentary system make cooperation among parties essential for passing security and economic reforms?

In a coalition-based parliamentary system, parties govern together when one party cannot secure enough parliamentary support alone. They must negotiate a shared program and maintain support for legislation. This makes cooperation essential, especially when reforms affect pensions, taxes, welfare, and national security.

The article shows why this matters for Merz. His coalition faces disagreements, while the CDU and CSU also have internal tensions. Yet the government must respond to alleged Russian threats, invest in preserving freedom, and address structural economic problems. Security and economic measures require political backing, not just a chancellor’s speech.

Germany’s political pressure makes cooperation harder. The AfD gained strongly in two eastern states, the Left Party led in Berlin, and Merz’s approval ratings reached record lows. Merz therefore urged conservative partners to stay united and rejected cooperation with the AfD. The article does not detail parliamentary procedures, so this explanation uses established knowledge of coalition government.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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