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Politics & Governance26 Oct 2026 · about 7 min

Netanyahu’s legacy on the line as Israelis head to elections this week

The brief

The election is framed as a direct judgment on Benjamin Netanyahu because his long leadership is tied to Israel’s biggest recent crises. Voters are weighing the October 7 attack, the wars that followed, his legal-system overhaul, and disputes over military-service exemptions. The result could define both his legacy and Israel’s political direction. His opponents call his coalition the “failure government” and demand an official investigation into how October 7 happened. Former military chief Gadi Eisenkot says Netanyahu offers “eternal war” rather than diplomatic victories. Netanyahu’s supporters answer that the defense establishment betrayed Israel and that he led a military turnaround against Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran. The contest is therefore more than a normal policy election. It tests whether Israelis reward Netanyahu’s security claims or punish his record. A poor showing could end the 77-year-old leader’s career, while victory would strengthen his image as a politician who survives repeated crises.

01

Why is this election being described as a referendum on Benjamin Netanyahu’s leadership?

The election is framed as a direct judgment on Benjamin Netanyahu because his long leadership is tied to Israel’s biggest recent crises. Voters are weighing the October 7 attack, the wars that followed, his legal-system overhaul, and disputes over military-service exemptions. The result could define both his legacy and Israel’s political direction.

His opponents call his coalition the “failure government” and demand an official investigation into how October 7 happened. Former military chief Gadi Eisenkot says Netanyahu offers “eternal war” rather than diplomatic victories. Netanyahu’s supporters answer that the defense establishment betrayed Israel and that he led a military turnaround against Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran.

The contest is therefore more than a normal policy election. It tests whether Israelis reward Netanyahu’s security claims or punish his record. A poor showing could end the 77-year-old leader’s career, while victory would strengthen his image as a politician who survives repeated crises.

02

How many people were killed or taken hostage in the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack, and how many Palestinians have reportedly been killed in the war that followed?

The attack’s human toll is central to the election because it remains the defining trauma in Israeli public life. The article reports that about 1,200 people were killed on October 7, 2023, while 251 were taken hostage. Those figures help explain why security, accountability and the war dominate nearly every campaign message.

Israel responded with a military offensive in Gaza. According to local health authorities cited in the article, more than 74,000 Palestinians have been killed. The offensive has also left Gaza in ruins and contributed to open-ended wars involving Lebanon and Iran. The article notes that the last hostages were returned in a ceasefire deal last year.

These figures have sharpened the election’s stakes on both sides. Many Israelis focus on the original attack and national security. Netanyahu’s opponents focus on the government’s failure to prevent it and the consequences of the continuing wars. The casualty figures also shape Israel’s international isolation and legal exposure.

03

What is a coalition government, and why is it likely to determine who becomes Israel’s next prime minister?

A coalition government is formed when multiple political parties agree to govern together because no single party has enough seats for a majority. That arrangement matters in Israel because the prime minister must depend on a bloc of parties to support a government. Coalition partners can therefore determine who takes office and which policies survive.

The article describes Netanyahu’s coalition, including politically powerful ultra-Orthodox parties, and contrasts it with his opponents. This shows the key mechanism: voters choose parties, but those parties must combine after the election. A leader who finishes first may still fail if rivals can build a larger, more reliable alliance.

The next prime minister is therefore likely to depend on bargaining after the vote, not simply on the national leader’s share of votes. Netanyahu’s coalition ties may preserve his power, but they also fuel disputes over military-service exemptions and legal reform. The article does not provide seat projections or a precise coalition map.

04

What could happen if neither Netanyahu’s bloc nor his opponents’ bloc wins enough seats to form a majority?

A majority is normally needed to support a government in the legislature. If neither Netanyahu’s bloc nor his opponents’ bloc reaches that threshold, the election may not immediately produce a prime minister who can govern securely. The central issue becomes which parties can cooperate and command enough support.

The mechanism is coalition bargaining. Smaller or middle-position parties may negotiate over leadership, ministerial posts and policy priorities before backing a government. In Israel, Netanyahu already relies on politically powerful ultra-Orthodox parties, showing how partner parties can become decisive. If negotiations fail, the existing political system may face further uncertainty or another electoral process.

The source does not specify what would happen next or identify the parties most likely to switch sides. It does show why the result matters beyond first place: a poor showing could end Netanyahu’s career, while a workable alliance could keep him in power. The final balance of seats will determine whether either camp can govern.

05

Why is the proposed two-state solution—an Israeli state and a Palestinian state—so important internationally but politically toxic in Israel?

The two-state solution proposes an Israeli state and a Palestinian state existing alongside each other. The article says it is still seen internationally as the only realistic way to solve the conflict. Its importance comes from offering a political alternative to permanent military confrontation and an unresolved struggle over land and sovereignty.

Inside Israel, the idea has become politically dangerous. Netanyahu’s campaign slogan, “Right or Palestine,” presents his opponents as if they would establish a Palestinian state, even though his main rivals vehemently reject that outcome. The slogan works as a warning aimed at voters who fear territorial or security consequences.

That gap explains the solution’s unusual status. International actors continue to treat it as essential, while Israeli politicians often avoid embracing it. The article calls this another legacy of Netanyahu’s long rule. The election may therefore reinforce opposition to the proposal, even as the international community continues to regard it as the realistic diplomatic framework.

06

What are checks and balances, and how could weakening Israel’s courts change the balance of power between its government and judiciary?

Checks and balances are safeguards that divide power among government institutions. They allow bodies such as courts, legislatures and executives to oversee or limit one another. Their purpose is to prevent a governing majority from exercising unchecked power. In Israel, this issue has become a major source of anger and protest.

Before the war, Netanyahu launched a plan to weaken the courts. Demonstrators accused him of undermining checks and balances to escape prosecution because he is on trial for corruption charges. If courts lose authority to review government decisions, ministers and parliamentary majorities could face fewer effective legal constraints.

The article does not describe the plan’s exact provisions or say that the courts have already been weakened. It does show why the issue matters in the election: opponents see it as a threat to democratic institutions, while Netanyahu’s legacy is being judged alongside national security and war. The result could shape the balance between Israel’s government and judiciary.

07

Why do Israel’s mandatory military service and exemptions for many ultra-Orthodox men create such a powerful political conflict?

Military service is especially sensitive because enlistment is mandatory for most Jewish men and women. Exemptions for many ultra-Orthodox men therefore raise a basic question of shared responsibility: who must risk service, and who can avoid it? The dispute reaches beyond military policy because it affects fairness, social trust and coalition politics.

Resentment has intensified during the wars. Hundreds of young soldiers have been killed, while tens of thousands of reservists have been pulled away from families and careers. Netanyahu has close ties with politically powerful ultra-Orthodox parties and has resisted attempts to end the exemptions. Those parties can help sustain his coalition.

The conflict puts public pressure on Netanyahu from two directions. Broader society wants a more equal service burden, while ultra-Orthodox partners oppose losing their exemptions. The article presents no final policy settlement. It shows that the issue remains a major dividing line and could influence whether Netanyahu can preserve coalition support after the election.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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