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Politics & Governance28 Oct 2026 · about 6 min

Partial count leaves Netanyahu and Eisenkot short of a majority

The brief

Being short of a majority means neither main political bloc can govern alone. Israel's Knesset has 120 seats, and a government needs support from at least 61 lawmakers. The current numbers therefore point to coalition negotiations rather than an immediate government victory. With half the votes counted, Netanyahu's bloc is projected to hold 55 seats. That leaves it six seats below 61, although the article also describes the bloc as nine seats short based on a different provisional comparison. Eisenkot's bloc has 49 seats, leaving it 12 short. The figures remain provisional while counting continues. Both blocs must seek support from other parties or lawmakers. Palestinian parties could hold 16 seats in the partial count, and possibly as many as 18 in projections. Eisenkot might negotiate with the Joint List and Ra'am, while Netanyahu has rejected relying on Palestinian parties. The final result will shape the bargaining.

01

What does it mean that Netanyahu and Eisenkot are both short of a majority?

Being short of a majority means neither main political bloc can govern alone. Israel's Knesset has 120 seats, and a government needs support from at least 61 lawmakers. The current numbers therefore point to coalition negotiations rather than an immediate government victory.

With half the votes counted, Netanyahu's bloc is projected to hold 55 seats. That leaves it six seats below 61, although the article also describes the bloc as nine seats short based on a different provisional comparison. Eisenkot's bloc has 49 seats, leaving it 12 short. The figures remain provisional while counting continues.

Both blocs must seek support from other parties or lawmakers. Palestinian parties could hold 16 seats in the partial count, and possibly as many as 18 in projections. Eisenkot might negotiate with the Joint List and Ra'am, while Netanyahu has rejected relying on Palestinian parties. The final result will shape the bargaining.

02

How many seats are needed to control Israel’s 120-member Knesset, and how many seats do the main blocs currently have?

Israel's Knesset has 120 seats, so control requires support from at least 61 lawmakers. This threshold matters because a government must command enough parliamentary backing to pass measures and survive key votes. Neither leading bloc currently reaches it.

The partial count puts Netanyahu's bloc on 55 seats. Eisenkot's opposition bloc is projected to win 49. Palestinian parties could hold 16 seats in the same count, while earlier projections suggested they might win as many as 18. Those numbers show why smaller groupings may become central to coalition talks.

The figures are not final. Israeli exit polls can change and may differ from final results by several seats. Earlier television projections showed both main blocs on 51 seats, after some estimates briefly gave Eisenkot's side a slight lead. The final distribution will determine which alliances are possible.

03

What happens next if neither bloc can reach 61 seats on its own?

If neither bloc reaches 61 seats, the election does not immediately produce a governing majority. Instead, parties must negotiate over support, policy, and possible cabinet arrangements. The process could last weeks because the main blocs have different political positions and limited routes to a majority.

Eisenkot could negotiate with the Joint List and Ra'am if his bloc remains short. He might also try to form a minority government, using informal agreements to win support on individual votes. Netanyahu has ruled out a government that depends on Palestinian parties, narrowing his options if existing partners cannot provide enough seats.

The provisional numbers make the outcome especially uncertain. Netanyahu's bloc has 55 seats, Eisenkot's 49, and Palestinian parties could hold 16. Exit polls and partial counts can change by several seats. Final results will establish the bargaining totals, but coalition-building remains the central next step.

04

Why could Palestinian parties, with as many as 16 to 18 projected seats, become decisive in forming the next government?

Palestinian parties could become decisive because neither major bloc is near 61 seats alone. Their lawmakers may provide the extra support needed to cross the majority threshold or help sustain a government during key votes. Their projected strength is therefore larger than their role in the outgoing parliament.

The partial count gives Palestinian parties 16 seats, while projections have put them as high as 18. Eisenkot's bloc has 49 seats, so support from some Palestinian parties could potentially close much of its gap. The article identifies the Joint List and Ra'am as possible negotiating partners. Their support could come through a coalition or other parliamentary arrangements.

The political choice is difficult. Eisenkot could face pressure to negotiate if other alliances cannot deliver 61 seats. Netanyahu has rejected a government dependent on Palestinian parties, so their leverage may be greater in talks involving Eisenkot. Final results will determine exactly how many seats they control.

05

What is a coalition government, and why do Israeli parties need agreements with one another to form one?

A coalition government is an administration supported by multiple parties rather than one party acting alone. Parties agree to work together so their combined lawmakers can support a prime minister and the government's decisions. The arrangement matters when election results divide seats among several political groupings.

In this election, Netanyahu's bloc is projected to have 55 seats and Eisenkot's bloc 49. Both totals fall below the 61-seat threshold in the 120-member Knesset. Each side would therefore need additional parties or lawmakers. Eisenkot could consider talks with the Joint List and Ra'am, while Netanyahu has rejected dependence on Palestinian parties.

The final coalition could take weeks to assemble. Israeli exit polls are frequently revised, and the partial count remains provisional. Parties must first know their final seat totals, then decide whether policy agreements and parliamentary support are possible. If no formal coalition emerges, a minority government could seek informal backing on individual votes.

06

How could a minority government operate without a formal majority in the Knesset?

A minority government is an administration that lacks a formal majority of seats but can still operate if other lawmakers support it when needed. It does not have guaranteed backing from 61 members. That makes every major parliamentary vote a test of whether the government can continue.

The article gives Eisenkot this possible route. Instead of forming a formal coalition, he could make informal agreements with other lawmakers. Those lawmakers might support the government on individual issues without joining it. This arrangement could let his government function despite falling short of a majority.

The system would remain fragile. Eisenkot's bloc is projected to hold 49 seats, leaving a substantial gap to 61. He would need enough support on key measures, and political disagreements could threaten the government. The article says Palestinian parties might be involved in negotiations, while Netanyahu has ruled out depending on them. Final seat totals will determine whether this alternative is realistic.

07

How does Israel’s proportional parliamentary election system make small parties and shifting alliances so important to governing?

In a proportional parliamentary system, seats are divided among parties according to their share of the vote rather than awarded entirely to one winner. This can produce several significant parties and no single governing majority. Governing then depends on agreements among parties with different constituencies and priorities.

The election numbers show the mechanism clearly. Netanyahu's bloc is projected at 55 seats and Eisenkot's at 49, below the 61 needed in the 120-member Knesset. Palestinian parties could hold 16 seats, making them potential partners in coalition talks. A smaller grouping can therefore gain major influence when the larger blocs are closely matched.

The result is shifting alliances and prolonged negotiations. Eisenkot could discuss support with the Joint List and Ra'am or seek informal backing for a minority government. Netanyahu has rejected relying on Palestinian parties. Because the count is incomplete and projections can change, the final balance may alter which agreements are possible.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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