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Politics & Governance29 Oct 2026 · about 6 min

Arab parties emerge as Israel kingmakers amid Netanyahu-Gadi deadlock

The brief

A parliamentary deadlock means no party or alliance has enough Knesset seats to form a government alone or with its existing partners. Israel's 120-seat parliament requires at least 61 seats for a majority. The election therefore produced a leading bloc, but not a governing majority. After 85% of ballots were counted, Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc held 53 seats. Gadi Eisenkot's bloc held 48. The difference gave Netanyahu an advantage, but his side still needed more support. The Arab parties held 19 seats together, making them important potential coalition partners. The deadlock matters because coalition negotiations become decisive. Both Netanyahu and Eisenkot had resisted working with the Arab parties. Unless one bloc changes position or finds another arrangement, Israel may face prolonged negotiations and difficulty establishing a stable government. The result was surprising because Netanyahu outperformed expectations but still fell short.

01

What does it mean that Israel's election produced a parliamentary deadlock?

A parliamentary deadlock means no party or alliance has enough Knesset seats to form a government alone or with its existing partners. Israel's 120-seat parliament requires at least 61 seats for a majority. The election therefore produced a leading bloc, but not a governing majority.

After 85% of ballots were counted, Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc held 53 seats. Gadi Eisenkot's bloc held 48. The difference gave Netanyahu an advantage, but his side still needed more support. The Arab parties held 19 seats together, making them important potential coalition partners.

The deadlock matters because coalition negotiations become decisive. Both Netanyahu and Eisenkot had resisted working with the Arab parties. Unless one bloc changes position or finds another arrangement, Israel may face prolonged negotiations and difficulty establishing a stable government. The result was surprising because Netanyahu outperformed expectations but still fell short.

02

How many seats do Netanyahu's bloc, Eisenkot's bloc, and the Arab parties hold, and how many seats are needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset?

The Knesset has 120 seats, so a party or bloc needs 61 to form a government with a majority. The election did not give either leading side that number. This is why the seat totals matter more than simply finishing first.

After 85% of ballots were counted, Netanyahu's Likud-led bloc held 53 seats. Eisenkot's opposition bloc held 48. The Joint List won 12 seats, while Ra'am won seven. Together, the two Arab parties therefore held 19 seats, potentially supplying the missing votes to either side.

These figures describe the reported position during counting, not necessarily a final government. Netanyahu's bloc was eight seats short of 61. Eisenkot's bloc was 13 seats short. Because the Arab parties could cover either gap, their seats became central to coalition negotiations, even though they did not lead the election.

03

Who are the Joint List and Ra'am, and which communities do they mainly represent?

The Joint List and Ra'am are Israel's two Arab parties in the 2026 election described here. They mainly represent citizens of Palestinian origin, many of whom descend from Palestinians who remained inside Israel after the 1948 war. Arabs made up 21.1% of Israel's population in April 2026.

The Joint List is an alliance of smaller Arab parties led by Youssef Jabarin. It won 12 seats. Ra'am, described in Israeli media as an Islamist party, is led by Mansour Abbas and won seven seats. Their combined total was 19 seats.

Their strong performance gave Arab voters unusual political influence. Arab turnout was reported at about 80%, while national turnout reached 77.7%, the highest since 1999. The two parties did not control the largest bloc, but their seats could help either major bloc reach the 61-seat threshold.

04

Why can the Arab parties act as kingmakers even though they do not control the largest bloc?

Arab parties can act as kingmakers because Israel uses proportional representation. Seats are distributed according to parties' vote shares, so several medium-sized parties can hold the balance when no large bloc reaches 61 seats. Their influence comes from being necessary, not from being the largest group.

The arithmetic shows the mechanism clearly. Netanyahu's bloc had 53 seats, eight short of a majority. Eisenkot's bloc had 48, 13 short. The Joint List and Ra'am together had 19 seats, enough in principle to cover either deficit and support a government.

Their leverage is political as well as mathematical. Both leading figures had expressed reluctance to work with the Arab parties, so the seats created a difficult choice. If either side accepted their support, it could potentially form a majority. If both refused, coalition talks would remain difficult and the deadlock could continue.

05

What could happen to Israel's next government if neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot is willing to work with the Arab parties?

Without Arab-party support, neither leading bloc has enough seats for the 61-seat majority required to form a stable government. Netanyahu's bloc had 53 seats, while Eisenkot's had 48. Their refusal would therefore remove the clearest route to closing the gap.

The immediate consequence would be continued coalition bargaining. Netanyahu would need to find support elsewhere, and Eisenkot would face an even larger shortfall. The article does not identify another group that could supply enough seats. It also says both leaders had been reluctant to work with the Arab parties.

The next government could therefore take longer to form, or negotiations could remain stuck. The election already produced a parliamentary deadlock, and rejecting the parties holding 19 combined seats would make that arithmetic harder to overcome. The article does not state whether a new election would follow, so the confirmed implication is prolonged uncertainty over government formation.

06

Has an Arab party ever joined an Israeli governing coalition before, and what happened when Ra'am joined the Bennett-Lapid government in 2021?

Yes. Ra'am previously joined an Israeli governing coalition when it entered the Bennett-Lapid government in 2021. This established that an Arab party could participate directly in forming a government rather than only supporting legislation from outside. The supplied article does not discuss that episode, so this answer uses established background knowledge.

Ra'am's participation helped Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid assemble a narrow coalition after the 2021 election. The coalition included parties from different ideological camps and depended on maintaining support across that broad alliance. Ra'am's seats were therefore part of the parliamentary arithmetic that made the government possible.

The arrangement did not last indefinitely. The Bennett-Lapid government lost its majority after defections and political breakdown, and the coalition ended in 2022. That history helps explain why Arab-party support can be valuable but politically complicated. It does not establish what will happen in the 2026 negotiations described in the article.

07

How does proportional representation turn a party's share of the vote into Knesset seats, and why can smaller parties become essential to forming a government?

Under proportional representation, parties receive Knesset seats broadly according to the percentage of votes they win. The system allows several parties to enter parliament instead of concentrating all seats in one winner. The article identifies this as the reason Arab voters form a significant voting bloc of their own.

The 2026 result shows the mechanism. The Joint List won 12 seats and Ra'am won seven, giving them 19 together. Netanyahu's bloc held 53 seats, and Eisenkot's held 48. Since 61 seats were needed, either major bloc could potentially use Arab-party support to cross the majority line.

This makes smaller parties essential when no large bloc wins outright. Their seats can determine who forms the government and what coalition conditions apply. In this election, high Arab turnout helped produce a strong combined result. However, the article also notes that both leading figures were reluctant to work with those parties.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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