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Defence & Security8 Nov 2026 · about 6 min

Has Venezuela Declared War on Colombia’s ELN Guerrillas? | The InSight Take

The brief

The Venezuelan government launched strikes against the ELN during the week covered by the article. The operation matters because Venezuela had long allowed the Colombian group to use its territory as a refuge. The strikes therefore represent a possible change in government policy, not merely a routine security action. The article does not identify the aircraft, weapons, units, targets, or number of attacks involved. It also does not name towns or specific sites. It places the broader issue along the Colombia-Venezuela border and says the ELN has enjoyed refuge on the Venezuelan side. The central uncertainty is whether these strikes will continue. The discussion asks whether the action could become a wider campaign against the group. It also links the new pressure to the United States, which has pushed Delcy Rodriguez's government to confront an organization previously protected by the Chavista regime.

01

What strikes did the Venezuelan government launch against the ELN, and where did they take place?

The Venezuelan government launched strikes against the ELN during the week covered by the article. The operation matters because Venezuela had long allowed the Colombian group to use its territory as a refuge. The strikes therefore represent a possible change in government policy, not merely a routine security action.

The article does not identify the aircraft, weapons, units, targets, or number of attacks involved. It also does not name towns or specific sites. It places the broader issue along the Colombia-Venezuela border and says the ELN has enjoyed refuge on the Venezuelan side.

The central uncertainty is whether these strikes will continue. The discussion asks whether the action could become a wider campaign against the group. It also links the new pressure to the United States, which has pushed Delcy Rodriguez's government to confront an organization previously protected by the Chavista regime.

02

Does launching strikes against the ELN amount to a formal declaration of war, or could it be a limited military operation?

A formal declaration of war is a political and legal step, while military strikes can occur without one. States may conduct limited operations against an armed group without declaring war on the country where that group is based. The article provides no evidence that Venezuela has issued such a declaration against the ELN or Colombia.

The wording points to uncertainty. It describes strikes against the ELN and asks whether they signal the start of a campaign. That distinction matters because one operation could be temporary, while repeated attacks would suggest a sustained policy shift. The article gives no operation size, duration, or military objectives.

For now, the safest conclusion is that Venezuela has begun an operation, not that it has formally declared war. The key test will be continuation. The discussion specifically asks whether the strikes will continue and whether Delcy Rodriguez's government will turn them into a broader campaign.

03

What is the ELN, and how is it both a guerrilla organization and a criminal group?

The ELN, or Ejército de Liberación Nacional, is described in the article as a Colombian criminal group and a guerrilla organization. A guerrilla group is an armed organization that fights through irregular tactics rather than operating as a conventional national army. Calling it criminal highlights conduct linked to organized crime, rather than treating it only as a political insurgency.

The two descriptions can coexist. The ELN may retain an armed, territorial structure and political identity while also benefiting from illegal economies, coercion, or other criminal activity. The article does not list the group's specific crimes, revenue sources, ideology, or military strength, so those details cannot be established from the provided text.

The distinction matters because governments may respond differently to insurgents and criminal groups. Venezuela's strikes target the ELN as an armed threat, while the article focuses on its cross-border refuge and criminal role. The government's actions could therefore affect both security policy and organized crime.

04

How large and geographically widespread is the ELN, especially along the Colombia-Venezuela border?

The ELN's scale cannot be measured from the provided article. It supplies no fighter count, number of fronts, controlled territory, or list of operating regions. What it does establish is geographic importance: the group is Colombian, has operated across the border, and has enjoyed refuge on Venezuela's side for decades.

That refuge makes the border more than a line on a map. It provides a neighboring space where the group can avoid pressure from Colombian authorities, according to the article's description of long-standing protection. The text does not explain how many border communities, routes, or Venezuelan states are involved.

The current strikes may test the group's ability to use that cross-border space. If attacks continue, Venezuela could become less reliable as a safe haven. If they stop, the article's central concern remains: a group long protected by the Chavista regime may retain access to Venezuelan territory.

05

Why has the ELN been able to use Venezuelan territory as a refuge for decades?

The article identifies political protection as the main reason the ELN could use Venezuela as a refuge. It says the group enjoyed protection from the Chavista regime for decades. That protection reduced the risk of Venezuelan forces targeting the organization and allowed the border to function as a safer rear area.

The arrangement also reflects the limits of a border divided between two states. Colombia could confront the ELN on its side, but Venezuelan protection made it harder to apply pressure across the frontier. The article does not describe specific officials, agreements, facilities, or local networks that sustained the refuge.

The new strikes suggest that this policy may be changing. The discussion says the United States pressured Rodriguez's government to finally crack down on the guerrilla group. Whether the change is lasting remains uncertain, because the article asks whether the strikes will continue or become a campaign.

06

What could happen to security, migration, and cross-border crime if Venezuela continues attacking the ELN?

If Venezuela continues attacking the ELN, the group's ability to use Venezuelan territory as a safe haven could weaken. That could reduce some cross-border criminal activity and increase pressure on the organization. It might also alter security conditions for communities near the frontier. These are possible effects, not outcomes stated as certain in the article.

Military pressure can also produce unintended consequences. Armed groups may move, fragment, retaliate, or push civilians away from contested areas. Those possibilities could affect migration, but the article gives no figures, routes, or evidence of displacement linked to the strikes. It also does not describe current crime levels along the border.

The most immediate question is whether the operation becomes sustained. A continuing campaign could mark a major break with decades of Venezuelan protection. A short operation would leave the ELN's cross-border refuge less fundamentally changed. The article offers no final answer, making policy continuity the key forward indicator.

07

How do national borders and state sovereignty work when armed groups operate across neighboring countries?

National sovereignty means each state normally controls security and law enforcement within its own territory. A border separates those authorities, so Colombia cannot simply conduct unrestricted military operations in Venezuela. An armed group can still cross that line, creating a security problem that no single state can fully manage alone.

The ELN's refuge illustrates this tension. The article says the group has long enjoyed protection on the Venezuelan side of the border. That protection allowed an organization linked to Colombia to use neighboring territory. Venezuela's strikes represent its own forces acting against the group, but the article does not say whether Colombia authorized, coordinated, or participated in them.

When states confront cross-border armed groups, they generally need clear jurisdiction, communication, and cooperation. Continued Venezuelan attacks could strengthen pressure on the ELN while changing relations between the neighboring governments. The article's key uncertainty is whether this action becomes a sustained campaign.

This brief was written by AI from the original reporting and checked by other models. Names, figures and quotes come from the source; read it for full context.

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